Prediction Market Network

PMN Topic Guide

Prediction Markets

How PMN uses prediction market prices, liquidity, and movement as reporting signals for real-world events.

Coverage Focus
  • Large probability moves with clear real-world catalysts.
  • High-liquidity markets where price changes can reveal shifting conviction.
  • Cases where market prices diverge from polls, consensus, or official commentary.
Signals We Watch
  • Probability level and one-day change.
  • Volume, open interest, and liquidity quality.
  • Resolution date, market wording, and provider context.
  • Whether the price move is supported by public news, data, or primary sources.
Related Sections
MarketsPoliticsEconomyWorld
Frequently Asked

Are prediction market odds the same as a forecast?

No. PMN treats market odds as a live signal that needs context. Prices can be useful, noisy, early, or wrong.

Does PMN recommend trades?

No. PMN is an editorial publication and does not provide financial, legal, tax, gambling, or trading advice.

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