Watch today's Prediction Market Network video brief above.
Ceasefire Odds 84% — The U.S.-Iran ceasefire officially lapsed on August 18th, but prediction markets are pricing an 83.5% chance it quietly continues through September. That's a truce the markets trust more than the paperwork. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/ceasefire-expired-but-market-sees-835-chance-it-continues-370019-20260826
Spacex Ipo Lead at Risk — SpaceX's record $2.1 trillion IPO debut in June was a moonshot, but now prediction markets give it only a 39.5% chance of ending 2026 with the highest market cap. The late-year risk is real. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/spacex-ipo-market-cap-lead-faces-late-year-risk-132156-20260826
Alito Stays, Odds Drop — Justice Alito insists he's not retiring, and prediction markets have cooled to a 17% chance of a Supreme Court vacancy this year. The conservative majority looks stable for now. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/next-supreme-court-vacancy-watch-cools-as-alito-rejects-reti-kxscou-20260826
