Markets / 1 MIN READ
Today's market video report — 3 stories moving prediction markets on July 25, 2026.
Markets in this brief
Odds for every market mentioned in today's video.
Markets / 2 MIN READ
NewPolymarket traders see only a 27.5% chance of Bitcoin reaching the $67,500 threshold before the contract closes on August 1.
Markets / 1 MIN READ
Earlier this weekActive military strikes and a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz drive oil above $100, fueling a broad risk-off move in cryptocurrencies.
Markets / 1 MIN READ
The cryptocurrency hit a two-week high on July 21, driven by the longest streak of net inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs since early July.
© 2026 Prediction Market Network. Market data references Polymarket and Kalshi and may change rapidly.
Watch today's Prediction Market Network video brief above.
Blockade Odds at 28% — Markets are pricing a 28 percent chance that a formal blockade announcement comes by Thursday. Traders are watching CENTCOM's June statement and Trump's signed agreement—will they trigger the resolution? The clock is ticking with six days left. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/markets-price-28-percent-chance-blockade-announcement-comes--291043-20260725
Strait of Hormuz Nears Halt — President Trump has threatened a massive attack as Strait of Hormuz traffic grinds to a halt. With only one vessel crossing and oil above $100, traders see a 15 percent chance of further escalation. The market is holding its breath. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/trump-threatens-massive-attack-as-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-n-277405-20260725
Fed Rate Hike Odds at 25% — Despite economist consensus against it, prediction markets now see a 25 percent chance of a quarter-point rate hike at next week's FOMC meeting. Inflation is running hot, and Kevin Warsh is data-dependent—but the data might surprise. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/fed-rate-hike-odds-rise-despite-economist-consensus-165495-20260725