Markets / 1 MIN READ
Today's market video report — 3 stories moving prediction markets on August 3, 2026.
Markets in this brief
Odds for every market mentioned in today's video.
Markets / 1 MIN READ
Earlier this weekTraders slashed the probability of Bitcoin touching $62,000 this week to 25.5% after futures data showed the asset staying above that threshold through late July.
Markets / 1 MIN READ
Polymarket traders now assign a 3.85% probability to Bitcoin touching $62,500 in July, down sharply from 8% a day ago.
Markets / 2 MIN READ
The Federal Reserve's rate decision on July 29 adds a critical catalyst for Bitcoin's slim 9.5% chance of hitting $67,500 by month's end.
© 2026 Prediction Market Network. Market data references Polymarket and Kalshi and may change rapidly.
Watch today's Prediction Market Network video brief above.
Iran Deal at 12% — President Trump has agreed to a deal framework that reopens the Strait of Hormuz, but markets see only a 12% chance it holds. Iran's denials aren't helping. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/trump-holds-off-on-iran-strikes-after-agreeing-to-deal-frame-277405-20260802
Insidious Prequel 44% — The Insidious prequel has zero reviews, but traders are betting 44% on a middling score. Franchise precedent is the only ghost in this machine. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/insidious-prequel-score-market-at-44-amid-zero-reviews-kxrtin-20260801
Fernandes Ballon D'or 0% — Bruno Fernandes for Ballon d'Or? Markets say zero percent. The award loves goal-scorers, not creative midfielders. Tough break, United fans. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/bruno-fernandess-ballon-dor-candidacy-hinges-on-creative-out-608560-20260802