
World / 1 MIN READ
Still liveStrait of Hormuz Ship Traffic Remains Near Zero After 94 Days of Disruption
Commercial transit is at a fraction of normal levels due to sea mines, insurance risks, and a stalled US-Iran peace process.
World / 1 MIN READ
The Royal Navy destroyer HMS Dragon remains in the Middle East region with no confirmed passage through the strategic strait nearly six weeks after deployment.

Market data
Current live odds
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
The United Kingdom pre-positioned the destroyer HMS Dragon in the Middle East in early May as part of a multinational coalition mission to secure the Strait of Hormuz, but no Royal Navy warship has transited through the narrows as of mid-June.
UK Defence Secretary John Healey announced the deployment on May 12, saying the Royal Navy would contribute the Type 45 destroyer alongside drones and jets to a defensive operation aimed at ensuring freedom of navigation through the strategic waterway. The Ministry of Defence described the move as prudent planning for a future coalition-led security mission.
No official statement or credible news report has confirmed that HMS Dragon or any other Royal Navy vessel has passed through the Strait of Hormuz narrows since the deployment was announced. The coalition mission remains in a preparatory phase, with nations coordinating their assets in the region.
The June 30 window represents the stated deployment timeline for coalition forces. If HMS Dragon transits the Strait before that date, it would mark a significant operational milestone for the UK and its coalition partners, though officials have not signaled an imminent movement.
Prediction markets reflect skepticism that a transit will occur by the month-end deadline, with traders assigning a low probability to the event as no official confirmation has emerged that the passage has happened or is imminent.

World / 1 MIN READ
Still liveCommercial transit is at a fraction of normal levels due to sea mines, insurance risks, and a stalled US-Iran peace process.

World / 1 MIN READ
Still liveCommercial shipping has virtually halted, with only a handful of vessels transiting daily and no safe-passage deal in sight.

World / 2 MIN READ
Still liveBeijing ramps up naval deployments and revises military rhetoric as Taipei completes blockade drills. The deadline for a potential clash looms in 2027.