Live market ticker. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: 22 percent; US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?: 14 percent; US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: 26 percent; Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 41 percent; Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?: 18 percent