Live market ticker. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?: 97 percent; Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?: 28 percent; Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: 25 percent; Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?: 73 percent; Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?: 51 percent