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Live market ticker. Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?: 1 percent; Starmer out by June 30, 2026?: 86 percent; Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 100 percent; Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?: 40 percent; Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?: 20 percent
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?<1%-25.2ppPOLYMARKET·Starmer out by June 30, 2026?86%+20.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?>99%+24.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?40%-27.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?20%-4.0ppKALSHI·Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?77%+48.4ppPOLYMARKET·Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?<1%POLYMARKET·Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?<1%POLYMARKET·Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?<1%POLYMARKET·Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?6%POLYMARKET·Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?13%POLYMARKET·Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?11%-6.0ppPOLYMARKET·GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?30%-47.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?6%POLYMARKET·Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%POLYMARKET·Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?78%+4.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%POLYMARKET·Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?15%+3.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 77.99 USD/Bbl on Jun 22, 2026?57%+16.0ppKALSHI·Spread: Spain (-2.5)54%+4.0ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?8%POLYMARKET·Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?>99%POLYMARKET·Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?3%-2.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?16%+4.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?<1%POLYMARKET·US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?<1%POLYMARKET·Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?2%+0.4ppPOLYMARKET·Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?3%-0.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?17%+2.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?57%+8.0ppPOLYMARKET·
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