Live market ticker. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: 17 percent; US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?: 51 percent; Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: 16 percent; Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 47 percent; US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?: 84 percent