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Live market ticker. US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?: 29 percent; US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?: 13 percent; Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?: 81 percent; Iran leadership change by December 31?: 20 percent; Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?: 42 percent
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?29%-27.0ppPOLYMARKET·US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?13%-17.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?81%+3.3ppPOLYMARKET·Iran leadership change by December 31?20%-3.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?42%-11.5ppPOLYMARKET·
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