Live market ticker. Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?: 24 percent; Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: 66 percent; Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 40 percent; Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: 22 percent; Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting: Fed maintains rate?: 60 percent