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Live market ticker. US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?: 28 percent; Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: 21 percent; US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?: 90 percent; Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?: 70 percent; Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?: 56 percent
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?28%-31.5ppPOLYMARKET·Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?21%+5.0ppPOLYMARKET·US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?90%-4.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?70%+3.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?56%+10.0ppPOLYMARKET·
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