Live market ticker. US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?: 25 percent; US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?: 59 percent; Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?: 63 percent; US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?: 11 percent; Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: 21 percent
If Rafael Devers records 1+ home runs in Detroit vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 9, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.