Live market ticker. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?: 99 percent; US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?: 49 percent; US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?: 70 percent; US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?: 54 percent; Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: 20 percent
If Cade Cavalli has 17+ outs recorded in the Washington vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 2, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.