Live market ticker. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?: 98 percent; US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?: 68 percent; US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?: 46 percent; Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: 20 percent; Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: 59 percent
If Kyle Freeland has 17+ outs recorded in the Kansas City vs Colorado professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 2, 2026 at 3:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.