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Live market ticker. Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?: 0 percent; Starmer out by June 30, 2026?: 91 percent; Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?: 79 percent; Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?: 25 percent; GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?: 28 percent
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?<1%-27.8ppPOLYMARKET·Starmer out by June 30, 2026?91%+34.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?79%+3.0ppKALSHI·Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?25%-51.1ppPOLYMARKET·GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?28%-50.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?<1%POLYMARKET·Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?<1%-0.2ppPOLYMARKET·Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?6%POLYMARKET·Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?13%POLYMARKET·Spread: Spain (-2.5)56%+6.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?6%POLYMARKET·Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%POLYMARKET·Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?78%+4.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%POLYMARKET·Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.553%-1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?26%-59.0ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?8%POLYMARKET·Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?>99%POLYMARKET·Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?4%-0.7ppPOLYMARKET·US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?<1%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?4%+1.4ppPOLYMARKET·Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?2%+1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?<1%POLYMARKET·Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?3%+0.4ppPOLYMARKET·Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?3%POLYMARKET·T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia2%-31.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?57%+8.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?18%+1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?<1%POLYMARKET·
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