Live market ticker. US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?: 33 percent; US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?: 97 percent; Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?: 23 percent; Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 40 percent; Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: 22 percent