This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
+11.5pp over 24h
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Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
+9.0pp over 24h
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Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
+9.0pp over 24h
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Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
+7.5pp over 24h
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Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
+5.5pp over 24h
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Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
-4.0pp over 24h
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Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
+4.0pp over 24h
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Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
No 24h delta available yet
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Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
No 24h delta available yet
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Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
+0.6pp over 24h
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Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
+0.3pp over 24h
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Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
+0.1pp over 24h
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Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
+0.1pp over 24h
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Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
No 24h delta available yet
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Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
+0.3pp over 24h
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