Live Event Board
Event clusters from Polymarket and Kalshi with active market counts, volume, liquidity cues, and the highest-signal contracts inside each event.
Events
21
Markets
66
Volume
$6.6M
Sources
8/13
Poly/Kalshi
Markets / 2 markets
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
+17.0pp / $105K
81%
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
-4.4pp / $143K
19%
Volume
$2.2M
Markets / 3 markets
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
+9.5pp / $109K
84%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?
+0.2pp / $76K
2%
Volume
$1.8M
Markets / 1 market
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
-2.9pp / $172K
2%
Volume
$1.2M
Ranked by activity
Volume
$396K
Markets
7
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
-32.3pp / $19K
2%
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
-58.4pp / $17K
2%
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
-78.9pp / $12K
6%
Volume
$382K
Markets
4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 11?
+11.4pp / $72K
99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 11?
-0.6pp / $88K
1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 11?
+0.5pp / $80K
>99%
Volume
$164K
Open Interest
$163K
France advances
No 24h move / $128K
59%
Spain advances
No 24h move / $21K
42%
Volume
$151K
Markets
1
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
No 24h move / $151K
3%
Volume
$149K
Markets
1
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10?
+54.5pp / $149K
>99%
Daily temperature
Volume
$100K
Open Interest
$64K
Will the **high temp in NYC** be <87° on Jul 10, 2026?
+62.0pp / $38K
>99%
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 87-88° on Jul 10, 2026?
-30.0pp / $29K
1%
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 89-90° on Jul 10, 2026?
-23.0pp / $16K
1%
Volume
$99K
Markets
1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 12?
+0.3pp / $84K
>99%
Volume
$18K
Open Interest
$18K
Reg Time: France to win
No 24h move / $11K
42%
Reg Time: Spain to win
No 24h move / $5K
31%
Reg Time: Tie to win
No 24h move / $667
30%
Daily temperature
Volume
$10K
Open Interest
$8K
Will the **high temp in NYC** be <81° on Jul 11, 2026?
No 24h move / $4K
63%
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 83-84° on Jul 11, 2026?
No 24h move / $1K
14%
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 81-82° on Jul 11, 2026?
No 24h move / $646
27%
Volume
$4K
Open Interest
$4K
Reg Time: Over 4.5 goals scored
No 24h move / $2K
13%
Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored
No 24h move / $2K
93%
Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored
No 24h move / $226
50%
Volume
$3K
Open Interest
$3K
Will France win in Regulation Time?
No 24h move / $3K
42%
Will Spain win in Penalty Shootout?
No 24h move / $67
8%
Will Spain win in Regulation Time?
No 24h move / $21
30%
Volume
$2K
Open Interest
$2K
Will both teams score?
No 24h move / $2K
58%
Volume
$509
Open Interest
$509
France wins by more than 1.5 goals?
No 24h move / $231
21%
Spain wins by more than 2.5 goals?
No 24h move / $20
5%
Spain wins by more than 1.5 goals?
No 24h move / $100
12%
Markets / Indices
Volume
$350
Open Interest
$316
7,620 or above
No 24h move / $116
33%
7,655 or above
No 24h move / $91
25%
7,605 or above
No 24h move / $71
39%
Volume
$261
Open Interest
$261
France wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half?
No 24h move / $261
9%
Markets / Indices
Volume
$205
Open Interest
$205
7,580 or above
No 24h move / $30
52%
7,390 or above
No 24h move / $25
87%
7,395 or above
No 24h move / $25
85%
Volume
$84
Open Interest
$84
Will both teams score in the 2nd Half?
No 24h move / $14
29%
Volume
$82
Open Interest
$82
Will France win the 1st Half?
No 24h move / $14
33%
Will Tie be the result of the 1st Half?
No 24h move / $12
42%