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Live Event Board
Event clusters from Polymarket and Kalshi with active market counts, volume, liquidity cues, and the highest-signal contracts inside each event.
Events
31
Markets
41
Volume
$128.1M
Sources
31/0
Poly/Kalshi
World / 1 market
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
0.0pp / $136K
16%
Volume
$40.3M
World / 1 market
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
0.0pp / $15K
4%
Volume
$38.3M
World / 1 market
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
+3.0pp / $558K
9%
Volume
$14.3M
Ranked by activity · Page 1 of 2
Volume
$8.6M
Open Interest
$394.2M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
0.0pp / $219K
<1%
Volume
$3.6M
Markets
1
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
0.0pp / $849K
<1%
Volume
$3.2M
Markets
1
Iran leadership change by December 31?
+0.5pp / $93K
17%
Volume
$2.8M
Markets
1
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
+2.0pp / $26K
7%
Volume
$2.6M
Markets
1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
No 24h move / $75K
13%
Volume
$2.3M
Markets
2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
+1.0pp / $119K
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
-0.4pp / $190K
2%
Volume
$2.0M
Markets
1
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
No 24h move / $2.0M
12%
Volume
$1.8M
Markets
1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
-1.1pp / $131K
<1%
Volume
$1.2M
Markets
2
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
+0.1pp / $561
3%
Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?
-0.2pp / $265
<1%
Volume
$1.2M
Markets
1
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
-0.6pp / $67K
5%
Volume
$1.2M
Markets
1
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
-0.5pp / $1K
5%
Volume
$964K
Markets
1
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
-4.0pp / $200K
21%
Volume
$778K
Markets
8
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
No 24h move / $286K
35%
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?
No 24h move / $147K
<1%
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?
No 24h move / $125K
<1%
Volume
$688K
Markets
1
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
-3.5pp / $2K
12%
Volume
$370K
Markets
1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
+7.0pp / $100K
25%
Volume
$310K
Markets
1
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
No 24h move / $327
9%
Volume
$221K
Markets
1
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
No 24h move / $221K
5%
Volume
$221K
Markets
1
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
+0.5pp / $13
9%
Volume
$182K
Markets
1
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
+3.5pp / $124
9%
Volume
$130K
Markets
1
NATO article 5 before 2027?
No 24h move / $507
7%
Volume
$129K
Markets
1
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?
+1.5pp / $101
8%
Volume
$126K
Markets
1
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
-1.0pp / $43
11%
Volume
$113K
Markets
1
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
+1.2pp / $134
7%
Volume
$106K
Markets
1
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
No 24h move / $106K
8%