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Live Event Board
Event clusters from Polymarket and Kalshi with active market counts, volume, liquidity cues, and the highest-signal contracts inside each event.
Events
39
Markets
73
Volume
$314.4M
Sources
39/0
Poly/Kalshi
World / 7 markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
-10.0pp / $451K
39%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
+1.0pp / $2.9M
26%
Volume
$99.5M
World / 1 market
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
0.0pp / $242K
3%
Volume
$44.2M
World / 1 market
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
0.0pp / $1.8M
0%
Volume
$32.0M
Ranked by activity
Volume
$26.7M
Open Interest
$468.6M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
-0.1pp / $1.5M
2%
Volume
$23.4M
Open Interest
$468.6M
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
0.0pp / $335K
7%
Volume
$18.6M
Open Interest
$468.6M
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
+0.2pp / $889K
1%
Volume
$13.5M
Open Interest
n/a
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
+0.3pp / $607K
2%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
+0.5pp / $203K
7%
Volume
$10.0M
Open Interest
n/a
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
-17.0pp / $517K
39%
Volume
$7.5M
Open Interest
n/a
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
-13.3pp / $10K
46%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
+6.7pp / $11K
26%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
+7.7pp / $11K
9%
Volume
$5.5M
Open Interest
n/a
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
-8.5pp / $269K
30%
Volume
$5.4M
Open Interest
n/a
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
-2.3pp / $270K
3%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
-2.2pp / $260K
3%
Volume
$4.2M
Open Interest
n/a
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
-0.5pp / $153K
18%
Volume
$3.0M
Open Interest
n/a
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
+1.0pp / $180K
44%
Volume
$2.6M
Open Interest
n/a
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
-3.7pp / $307K
21%
Volume
$1.9M
Open Interest
n/a
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
No 24h move / $396
18%
Volume
$1.8M
Open Interest
n/a
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
+1.0pp / $2K
10%
Volume
$1.6M
Open Interest
n/a
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
+2.0pp / $244K
8%
Volume
$1.5M
Open Interest
n/a
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
-5.0pp / $16K
72%
Volume
$1.5M
Open Interest
n/a
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
-13.5pp / $181K
59%
Volume
$1.4M
Open Interest
n/a
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
-2.8pp / $397K
7%
Volume
$1.2M
Open Interest
n/a
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
No 24h move / $2K
7%
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
0.0pp / $285
1%
Volume
$1.2M
Open Interest
n/a
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
+0.8pp / $1K
6%
Volume
$913K
Open Interest
n/a
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
-2.9pp / $6K
2%
Volume
$845K
Open Interest
n/a
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
No 24h move / $59
11%
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
-0.4pp / $165
1%
Volume
$728K
Open Interest
n/a
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
+9.5pp / $440K
12%
Volume
$717K
Open Interest
n/a
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
-0.2pp / $564K
0%
Volume
$636K
Open Interest
n/a
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
-4.0pp / $958
19%
Volume
$619K
Open Interest
n/a
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
-1.3pp / $518
28%
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?
-0.8pp / $722
4%
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?
-0.7pp / $91
4%
Volume
$595K
Open Interest
n/a
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
+70.3pp / $455K
78%
Volume
$275K
Open Interest
n/a
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
-0.5pp / $296
3%
Volume
$239K
Open Interest
n/a
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
+0.5pp / $3K
19%
Volume
$204K
Open Interest
n/a
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
-1.5pp / $69K
7%
Volume
$196K
Open Interest
n/a
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
No 24h move / $72
8%
Volume
$104K
Open Interest
n/a
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
-1.0pp / $428
21%
Volume
$79K
Open Interest
n/a
NATO article 5 before 2027?
+0.5pp / $4K
16%
Volume
$65K
Open Interest
n/a
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
No 24h move / $81
10%
Volume
$38K
Open Interest
n/a
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
No 24h move / $313
6%
Volume
$7K
Open Interest
n/a
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
+6.0pp / $96
20%
Volume
$7K
Open Interest
n/a
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
-1.9pp / $50
8%