Live Event Board
Event clusters from Polymarket and Kalshi with active market counts, volume, liquidity cues, and the highest-signal contracts inside each event.
Events
112
Markets
229
Volume
$1545.3M
Sources
112/0
Poly/Kalshi
Sports / 7 markets
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0.0pp / $7.8M
<1%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0.0pp / $4.9M
21%
Volume
$805.0M
Politics / 5 markets
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.0pp / $279K
2%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.0pp / $217K
<1%
Volume
$106.2M
Politics / 4 markets
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
0.0pp / $5.1M
<1%
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
+0.1pp / $4.1M
<1%
Volume
$101.3M
Ranked by activity · Page 1 of 5
Volume
$64.6M
Open Interest
$394.2M
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
0.0pp / $99K
2%
Volume
$50.7M
Open Interest
$1971.2M
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0.0pp / $484K
<1%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0.0pp / $378K
<1%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0.0pp / $292K
<1%
Volume
$40.8M
Open Interest
$1577.0M
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
0.0pp / $375K
78%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
-0.1pp / $273K
23%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
+0.1pp / $199K
<1%
Volume
$40.3M
Open Interest
$394.2M
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
0.0pp / $136K
16%
Volume
$39.5M
Open Interest
$394.2M
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.0pp / $118K
<1%
Volume
$38.5M
Open Interest
$394.2M
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
-0.3pp / $124K
4%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
0.0pp / $101K
8%
Volume
$38.3M
Open Interest
$394.2M
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
0.0pp / $15K
4%
Volume
$34.7M
Open Interest
$394.2M
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
0.0pp / $10K
4%
Volume
$22.2M
Open Interest
$1182.7M
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
0.0pp / $2.6M
<1%
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
0.0pp / $276K
<1%
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
0.0pp / $18K
<1%
Volume
$14.9M
Open Interest
$394.2M
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0.0pp / $304K
2%
Volume
$14.4M
Markets
5
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No 24h move / $209K
<1%
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-0.8pp / $123K
<1%
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No 24h move / $86K
11%
Volume
$14.3M
Open Interest
$394.2M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
+3.0pp / $558K
9%
Volume
$10.2M
Open Interest
$788.5M
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.0pp / $251K
<1%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.0pp / $187K
<1%
Volume
$8.6M
Open Interest
$394.2M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
0.0pp / $219K
<1%
Volume
$8.0M
Open Interest
$394.2M
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-0.1pp / $65K
10%
Volume
$7.0M
Markets
2
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
No 24h move / $90K
<1%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
No 24h move / $86K
<1%
Volume
$5.8M
Markets
5
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
+16.2pp / $167K
35%
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
-12.0pp / $273K
40%
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
-3.1pp / $181K
14%
Volume
$5.0M
Open Interest
$394.2M
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
0.0pp / $2.1M
70%
Volume
$4.6M
Markets
6
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
+0.5pp / $1.1M
35%
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
+0.8pp / $258K
56%
Spread: Norway (-4.5)
No 24h move / $168K
<1%
Volume
$4.2M
Markets
3
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
+1.0pp / $1.2M
24%
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
-0.5pp / $852K
52%
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
No 24h move / $142K
26%
Volume
$3.6M
Markets
1
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
0.0pp / $849K
<1%
Volume
$3.4M
Markets
3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
+7.5pp / $108K
24%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
+8.5pp / $80K
57%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
-0.2pp / $217K
<1%
Volume
$3.2M
Markets
1
Iran leadership change by December 31?
+0.5pp / $93K
17%
Volume
$2.8M
Markets
1
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
+2.0pp / $26K
7%