Live Prediction Market Events | Prediction Market Network

Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova16%-33.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?21%+4.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?15%-10.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?79%-3.0ppKALSHI·Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?<1%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?<1%+0.2ppPOLYMARKET·Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?60%-7.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?15%-1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?54%-1.0ppPOLYMARKET·US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?11%-11.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?<1%-87.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?4%-0.3ppPOLYMARKET·Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?<1%-81.9ppPOLYMARKET·Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?22%POLYMARKET·China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?6%-0.6ppPOLYMARKET·Norway vs. England: Team to Advance35%POLYMARKET·Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?3%+0.6ppPOLYMARKET·Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?5%+0.2ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?10%+5.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Elizabeth Warren be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?<1%KALSHI·T20 Series England vs India: England vs India96%+41.6ppPOLYMARKET·Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?2%-0.2ppPOLYMARKET·Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?<1%POLYMARKET·Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?7%-3.0ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?67%+3.5ppPOLYMARKET·UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)72%+4.0ppPOLYMARKET·Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance75%+0.3ppPOLYMARKET·Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?<1%POLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?<1%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·

Saturday, July 11, 2026

Prediction Market Network

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105 Filtered Events

Ranked by activity · Page 4 of 5

PolymarketPolitics1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Volume

$165K

Markets

1

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

-0.6pp / $65

8%

PolymarketSports1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Iasi: Zsombor Piros vs Jerome Kym

Volume

$154K

Markets

1

Iasi: Zsombor Piros vs Jerome Kym

+21.5pp / $154K

76%

PolymarketMarkets1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Volume

$151K

Markets

1

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

No 24h move / $151K

3%

PolymarketSports1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Hugo Dellien

Volume

$150K

Markets

1

Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Hugo Dellien

No 24h move / $150K

30%

PolymarketSports1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Argentina vs. Switzerland - Player Props

Volume

$135K

Markets

1

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

-2.0pp / $78K

51%

PolymarketSports1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox

Volume

$134K

Markets

1

Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox

-1.0pp / $132K

47%

PolymarketWorld1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Volume

$133K

Markets

1

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

0.0pp / $21K

7%

PolymarketSports1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Contrexeville: Mayar Sherif vs Leolia Jeanjean

Volume

$133K

Markets

1

Contrexeville: Mayar Sherif vs Leolia Jeanjean

No 24h move / $133K

81%

PolymarketWorld1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Volume

$127K

Markets

1

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

No 24h move / $509

11%

PolymarketTechnology2 marketsJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

Volume

$127K

Markets

2

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?

-81.9pp / $11K

<1%

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?

+9.3pp / $12K

>99%

PolymarketSports1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Norway vs. England - Halftime Result

Volume

$120K

Markets

1

Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?

+2.0pp / $106K

44%

PolymarketWorld1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?

Volume

$110K

Markets

1

Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?

No 24h move / $110K

17%

PolymarketWorld1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

Volume

$110K

Markets

1

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

-1.0pp / $3K

7%

PolymarketEconomy2 marketsJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Volume

$106K

Markets

2

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?

-3.0pp / $2K

9%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

+2.5pp / $894

30%

PolymarketTechnology1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Volume

$104K

Markets

1

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?

-2.5pp / $995

83%

PolymarketSports1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals

Volume

$102K

Markets

1

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals

+6.5pp / $102K

66%

PolymarketSports1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Bogota: Matias Soto vs Lorenzo Claverie

Volume

$93K

Markets

1

Bogota: Matias Soto vs Lorenzo Claverie

No 24h move / $93K

83%

PolymarketSports1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri

Volume

$89K

Markets

1

Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri

No 24h move / $89K

19%

PolymarketSports1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Argentina vs. Switzerland - Total Corners

Volume

$85K

Markets

1

Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

-3.5pp / $82K

42%

PolymarketSports1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Mjallby AIF vs. AIK

Volume

$80K

Markets

1

Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-11?

-49.4pp / $77K

<1%

PolymarketWorld4 marketsJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?

Volume

$79K

Markets

4

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

+5.5pp / $3K

17%

Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

-1.8pp / $18K

25%

Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

+4.3pp / $5K

5%

PolymarketSports1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins

Volume

$76K

Markets

1

Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins

-5.0pp / $76K

42%

PolymarketWorld1 marketJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory

Volume

$75K

Markets

1

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

0.0pp / $75K

4%

PolymarketTechnology3 marketsJul 11, 12:45 PM EDT

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Volume

$65K

Markets

3

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

+3.0pp / $2K

66%

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

-1.5pp / $841

5%

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

+1.3pp / $2K

4%