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Live Event Board
Event clusters from Polymarket and Kalshi with active market counts, volume, liquidity cues, and the highest-signal contracts inside each event.
Events
44
Markets
150
Volume
$21.1M
Sources
0/44
Poly/Kalshi
Economy / 5 markets
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting?
0.0pp / $123K
2%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their June 2026 meeting?
0.0pp / $83K
97%
Volume
$10.1M
Sports / 2 markets
Game 5: San Antonio at Oklahoma City Winner?
+2.0pp / $2.8M
40%
Game 5: San Antonio at Oklahoma City Winner?
-2.0pp / $646K
61%
Volume
$4.6M
Technology / 6 markets
Best AI in Dec 2026?
+0.8pp / $4K
65%
Best AI in Dec 2026?
-0.8pp / $4K
18%
Volume
$4.1M
Ranked by activity
If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(July 2026 contract) on May 26, 2026 is above 88.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
Oil & Gas
Volume
$913K
Open Interest
$333K
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.99 USD/Bbl on May 26, 2026?
+57.0pp / $62K
89%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.99 USD/Bbl on May 26, 2026?
+51.0pp / $46K
96%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on May 26, 2026?
+31.0pp / $40K
99%
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 1 PM EDT is above 76499.99 at 1 PM EDT on May 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Hourly / BTC
Volume
$583K
Open Interest
$215K
Bitcoin price on May 26, 2026?
No 24h move / $104K
40%
Bitcoin price on May 26, 2026?
No 24h move / $99K
12%
Bitcoin price on May 26, 2026?
No 24h move / $65K
4%
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on July 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Fed
Volume
$247K
Open Interest
$180K
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
0.0pp / $109
8%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
-1.0pp / $583
3%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
0.0pp / $1K
90%
If Anthropic has the top-ranked LLM on May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Product launches / AI / Companies
Volume
$116K
Open Interest
$66K
Best AI in May 2026?
-1.0pp / $1K
99%
If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Product launches / AI / Companies
Volume
$83K
Open Interest
$72K
Best AI in May 2026?
0.0pp / $6K
3%
Best AI in May 2026?
+1.0pp / $6K
98%
Best AI in May 2026?
-1.0pp / $5K
1%
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for May 26, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 81-82°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Daily temperature
Volume
$82K
Open Interest
$55K
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 79-80° on May 26, 2026?
+27.0pp / $17K
67%
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 77-78° on May 26, 2026?
-26.0pp / $17K
8%
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 81-82° on May 26, 2026?
+10.0pp / $19K
24%
If Oklahoma City wins the Game 6: Oklahoma City at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Basketball
Volume
$62K
Open Interest
$55K
Game 6: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner?
-1.0pp / $21K
57%
Game 6: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner?
-1.0pp / $30K
44%
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on May 26, 2026 is above 7499.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indices / Markets
Volume
$45K
Open Interest
$29K
Will the S&P 500 be above 7499.9999 on May 26, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
No 24h move / $15K
64%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7524.9999 on May 26, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
No 24h move / $13K
22%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7549.9999 on May 26, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
No 24h move / $7K
6%
If the total runs scored by Royal Challengers Bengaluru is above 223.5 in the Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru IPL cricket match originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$39K
Open Interest
$25K
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru score over 223.5 runs?
No 24h move / $19K
100%
Will Gujarat Titans score over 223.5 runs?
No 24h move / $7K
8%
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru score over 193.5 runs?
No 24h move / $7K
100%
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$31K
Open Interest
$27K
What will JD Vance say during Roundtable on Anti-Fraud Initiatives?
No 24h move / $2K
64%
What will JD Vance say during Roundtable on Anti-Fraud Initiatives?
No 24h move / $4K
9%
What will JD Vance say during Roundtable on Anti-Fraud Initiatives?
No 24h move / $2K
30%
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.460 on May 27, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$15K
Open Interest
$12K
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.475?
No 24h move / $2K
35%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.450?
No 24h move / $3K
98%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.480?
No 24h move / $2K
18%
If US ISM services PMI for May 2026 is above 55.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$12K
Open Interest
$8K
Will US ISM services PMI for May 2026 be above 55.5?
No 24h move / $5K
3%
Will US ISM services PMI for May 2026 be above 56.0?
No 24h move / $3K
4%
Will US ISM services PMI for May 2026 be above 56.5?
No 24h move / $4K
1%
If Team Falcons wins BLAST Slam 2026: LGD Gaming vs. Team Falcons Dota 2 match originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$12K
Open Interest
$10K
Will LGD Gaming win the LGD Gaming vs. Team Falcons Dota 2 match?
No 24h move / $6K
1%
Will Team Falcons win the LGD Gaming vs. Team Falcons Dota 2 match?
No 24h move / $6K
100%
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for May 27, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is greater than 84°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Daily temperature
Volume
$9K
Open Interest
$7K
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 83-84° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $1K
34%
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 77-78° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $212
2%
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 79-80° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $1K
3%
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on December 09, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Fed
Volume
$8K
Open Interest
$5K
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting?
-3.0pp / $31
71%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?
-2.0pp / $109
18%
If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for May 27, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 62°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$5K
Open Interest
$5K
Will the **high temp in LA** be 66-67° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $1K
43%
Will the **high temp in LA** be 62-63° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $2K
4%
Will the **high temp in LA** be <62° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $2K
1%
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Fed
Volume
$5K
Open Interest
$2K
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2027 meeting?
+11.0pp / $16
70%
If the minimum temperature recorded at Philadelphia for May 27, 2026, is between 59-60° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$4K
Open Interest
$4K
Will the minimum temperature be <59° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $953
1%
Will the minimum temperature be 59-60° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $714
1%
Will the minimum temperature be 61-62° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $630
2%
If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for May 27, 2026, is greater than 78° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$4K
Open Interest
$3K
Will the maximum temperature be >78° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $3K
1%
Will the maximum temperature be 73-74° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $1K
40%
Will the maximum temperature be 71-72° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $590
20%
If US nonfarm payrolls for May 2026 is above 240,000 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$4K
Open Interest
$1K
Will US nonfarm payrolls for May 2026 be above 240K?
No 24h move / $4K
4%
If the maximum temperature recorded at New Orleans for May 27, 2026, is greater than 90° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$4K
Open Interest
$4K
Will the maximum temperature be >90° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $4K
2%
If the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for May 27, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 71°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$3K
Open Interest
$3K
Will the **high temp in Denver** be 71-72° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $590
31%
Will the **high temp in Denver** be <71° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $2K
38%
Will the **high temp in Denver** be >78° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $1K
1%
If Nicolas Barrientos / Ariel Behar wins the Barrientos / Behar vs Droguet / Gaston professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Doubles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$3K
Open Interest
$3K
Will Nicolas Barrientos / Ariel Behar win the Barrientos / Behar vs Droguet / Gaston: Round Of 64 match?
No 24h move / $2K
55%
Will Titouan Droguet / Hugo Gaston win the Barrientos / Behar vs Droguet / Gaston: Round Of 64 match?
No 24h move / $907
49%
If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for May 27, 2026, is greater than 86° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$3K
Open Interest
$3K
Will the high temp in Chicago be <79° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $1K
2%
Will the high temp in Chicago be >86° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $2K
22%
If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for May 27, 2026, is greater than 86° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$3K
Open Interest
$2K
Will the maximum temperature be >86° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $2K
16%
Will the maximum temperature be 79-80° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $627
17%
If the maximum temperature recorded at Houston for May 27, 2026, is greater than 86° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$2K
Open Interest
$2K
Will the maximum temperature be >86° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $2K
1%
If Cheuk Ying Shek wins the Koyama vs Shek professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Fukui Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$2K
Open Interest
$2K
Will Cheuk Ying Shek win the Koyama vs Shek: W15 Fukui Round of 32 match?
No 24h move / $2K
82%
If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for May 27, 2026, is greater than 98° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$2K
Open Interest
$2K
Will the maximum temperature be >98° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $1K
1%
Will the maximum temperature be <91° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $665
1%
If Renewal is said by any Costco Wholesale Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Costco Wholesale Corporation earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$2K
Open Interest
$1K
What will Costco Wholesale Corporation say during their next earnings call?
No 24h move / $633
99%
What will Costco Wholesale Corporation say during their next earnings call?
No 24h move / $1K
98%
If Frites Esports Club wins map 1 in the Road Of Legends 2026: The Bandits vs. Frites Esports Club League of Legends match originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$1K
Open Interest
$1K
Will Frites Esports Club win map 1 in the The Bandits vs. Frites Esports Club match?
No 24h move / $1K
52%
If the maximum temperature recorded at Oklahoma City for May 27, 2026, is greater than 82° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$1K
Open Interest
$1K
Will the maximum temperature be >82° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $872
8%
Will the maximum temperature be 81-82° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $594
11%
If Elly De La Cruz records 1+ home runs in Cincinnati vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$1K
Open Interest
$1K
Elly De La Cruz: 1+ home runs?
No 24h move / $1K
13%
If the maximum temperature recorded at Atlanta for May 27, 2026, is greater than 87° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$1K
Open Interest
$928
Will the maximum temperature be >87° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $618
3%
If the maximum temperature recorded at Las Vegas for May 27, 2026, is greater than 84° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$1K
Open Interest
$1K
Will the maximum temperature be >84° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $987
2%
If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for May 27, 2026, is greater than 81° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$892
Open Interest
$762
Will the minimum temperature be >81° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $892
3%
If Stefanos Tsitsipas wins the Arnaldi vs Tsitsipas professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$874
Open Interest
$874
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the Arnaldi vs Tsitsipas: Round Of 64 match?
No 24h move / $870
64%
If the maximum temperature recorded at Boston for May 27, 2026, is less than 81° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$794
Open Interest
$594
Will the maximum temperature be <81° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $794
2%
If the maximum temperature recorded at Minneapolis for May 27, 2026, is greater than 93° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$780
Open Interest
$780
Will the maximum temperature be >93° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $780
2%
If the minimum temperature recorded at New York City for May 27, 2026, is between 59-60° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$772
Open Interest
$632
Will the minimum temperature be 59-60° on May 27, 2026?
No 24h move / $772
3%
If Kosuke Ogura wins the Shiraishi vs Ogura professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Karuizawa Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Volume
$610
Open Interest
$610
Will Kosuke Ogura win the Shiraishi vs Ogura: M15 Karuizawa Round of 32 match?
No 24h move / $610
37%
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Fed
Volume
$524
Open Interest
$41
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their July 2027 meeting?
-4.0pp / $65
33%