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Live Market Board
Event clusters from Polymarket and Kalshi with active market counts, volume, liquidity cues, and the highest-signal contracts inside each event.
Events
81
Markets
164
Volume
$468.5M
Sources
31/50
Poly/Kalshi
Politics / 5 markets
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
-0.1pp / $110K
<1%
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.0pp / $104K
<1%
Volume
$176.0M
Politics / 2 markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
-0.2pp / $99K
1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
0.0pp / $76K
3%
Volume
$40.8M
Politics / 4 markets
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
+0.2pp / $175K
20%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.0pp / $50K
<1%
Volume
$36.9M
Ranked by activity · Page 1 of 4
Volume
$35.7M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
+0.5pp / $9K
3%
Volume
$29.6M
Open Interest
$1689.9M
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
-0.1pp / $144K
13%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.0pp / $90K
<1%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.0pp / $77K
<1%
Awards / Politics / Geopolitics / World / Nobel Prize
Volume
$26.4M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
-0.2pp / $88K
<1%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 24h move / $1.2M
<1%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 24h move / $1.1M
<1%
putin / Geopolitics / Ukraine / Politics / World
Volume
$24.3M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
+0.4pp / $277K
3%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
-1.0pp / $4K
10%
Volume
$23.8M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
-0.1pp / $52K
5%
Volume
$17.4M
Markets
1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.0pp / $1.2M
16%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+0.3pp / $708K
84%
2028 / US Elections
Volume
$15.6M
Open Interest
$10.7M
Will Rahm Emanuel be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
+0.5pp / $147K
3%
Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
0.0pp / $78K
<1%
Will Tim Walz be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
0.0pp / $96K
<1%
Volume
$14.1M
Open Interest
$676.0M
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
0.0pp / $181K
93%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
0.0pp / $156K
8%
Volume
$11.3M
Open Interest
$676.0M
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
+1.0pp / $348K
9%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
+0.1pp / $148K
<1%
2026 Balance of Power: Other
+0.2pp / $68K
<1%
Volume
$6.2M
Markets
2
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
0.0pp / $74K
36%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
-2.0pp / $58K
9%
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 24h move / $63K
<1%
Politics / houthi / Iran / traffic / Strait of Hormuz
Volume
$2.5M
Markets
2
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
-1.0pp / $71K
16%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No 24h move / $41K
6%
Volume
$1.2M
Markets
1
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
-1.0pp / $58K
36%
Governor
Volume
$1.1M
Open Interest
$707K
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Texas
-3.0pp / $10K
26%
Volume
$635K
Markets
4
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
-11.0pp / $133K
17%
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
+11.0pp / $109K
82%
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
-0.6pp / $75K
2%
Volume
$550K
Markets
1
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
+0.1pp / $36K
68%
Trump
Volume
$466K
Open Interest
$157K
Will President Trump resign before his term is up?
+1.0pp / $5K
19%
Governor
Volume
$378K
Open Interest
$204K
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Nevada
+3.0pp / $12K
50%
Politics / Geopolitics / Spain Elections / Spain
Volume
$377K
Markets
1
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
+3.5pp / $51K
29%
Senate / Senate Combos / Election Combos
Volume
$339K
Open Interest
$311K
Above 57
0.0pp / $816
3%
Volume
$289K
Markets
15
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
+1.5pp / $68
12%
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?
0.0pp / $9
4%
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
No 24h move / $18
7%
Iran / Israel / Politics / Geopolitics / Israel x Iran
Volume
$236K
Markets
2
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?
No 24h move / $43K
5%
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?
+2.0pp / $42K
22%
Volume
$199K
Markets
1
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
+0.5pp / $3K
5%
Senate / US Elections / Senate Combos / Election Combos
Volume
$198K
Open Interest
$129K
Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?
+2.0pp / $11K
36%
Trump
Volume
$189K
Open Interest
$72K
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
-5.0pp / $73
23%
© 2026 Prediction Market Network. Market data references Polymarket and Kalshi and may change rapidly.