Markets grouped around what is actually trading

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

+3.5pp / $24K

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?

-2.5pp / $5K

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

+13.0pp / $15K

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

+2.5pp / $11K

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?

-2.2pp / $5K

Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?

+2.4pp / $6K

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

+0.5pp / $3K

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

+1.0pp / $1K

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?

-2.0pp / $4K

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?

+6.2pp / $6K

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?

+1.0pp / $4K

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?

-0.8pp / $4K

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Jan 1, 2027?

0.0pp / $6K

Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $55 in 2026?

-15.5pp / $994

Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $60 in 2026?

-13.0pp / $2K

Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?

-1.5pp / $1K