Iowa at Washington

Friday, October 9 · 9:00 PM ET · Friday night game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · FRIDAY NIGHT GAMEBIG TEN GAME

AWAYIowaHawkeyes40.7%chance to win · Polymarket 41% · Kalshi 40.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 3 DAYSFri 9:00 PM ET

HOMEWashingtonHuskies59.3%chance to win · Polymarket 59% · Kalshi 59.5%

Favorite: Washington, 59.3%Spread: Washington −3.5Total: 41.5The sites are 0.5 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line here. The biggest difference is on the spread.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Washington wins	59%	59.5%	0.5 pts
Spread: Washington −3.5Chance Washington wins by 4 or more	46.5%	47.5%	1.0 pts
Total: 41.5 pointsChance of 42 or more points combined	50.5%	49.5%	1.0 pts

Washington rose from 50.5% to 59% on Polymarket since Oct 1, peaking at 60.5%. Polymarket has 59% and Kalshi 59.5% now.

Washington Huskies: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

40%45%50%55%60%65%Oct 2Oct 4Oct 6Polymarket 59%Kalshi 59.5%

Both teams play in the Big Ten, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the Big Ten	Win the national title
IowaHawkeyes	11.8%P 10 · K 13.5	2.2%P 2 · K 2.5	1%P — · K 1*
WashingtonHuskies	6%P 6 · K 2*	2.8%P 2.8 · K 1*	1%P — · K 1*

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.