Michigan at Minnesota

Saturday, October 3 · 12:00 PM ET · Saturday early game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY EARLY GAMEBIG TEN GAME

AWAYMichiganWolverines66.5%chance to win · Polymarket 66.5% · Kalshi 66.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 1 DAYSat 12:00 PM ET

HOMEMinnesotaGolden Gophers33.5%chance to win · Polymarket 33.5% · Kalshi 33.5%

Favorite: Michigan, 66.5%Spread: Michigan −5.5Total: 43.5The sites agree

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line here. The biggest difference is on the spread.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Michigan wins	66.5%	66.5%	Same
Spread: Michigan −5.5Chance Michigan wins by 6 or more	52.5%	51.5%	1.0 pts
Total: 43.5 pointsChance of 44 or more points combined	49.5%	49.5%	Same

Michigan has stayed between 66.5% and 66.5% since Oct 1. Both sites have it at 66.5% now.

Michigan Wolverines: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

65%70%75%Oct 2Both 66.5%

Both teams play in the Big Ten, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the Big Ten	Win the national title
MichiganWolverines	9%P 10.5 · K 7.5	3.3%P 5.1 · K 1.5	0.5%P 0.5 · K 1*
MinnesotaGolden Gophers	—Not listed	0.9%P 0.9 · K 1*	—Not listed

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.