Penn State at Northwestern

Friday, October 2 · 8:00 PM ET · Friday night game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · FRIDAY NIGHT GAMEBIG TEN GAME

AWAYPenn StateNittany Lions56.5%chance to win · Polymarket 56.5% · Kalshi 56.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 10 HR 28 MINFri 8:00 PM ET

HOMENorthwesternWildcats43.5%chance to win · Polymarket 43.5% · Kalshi 43.5%

Favorite: Penn State, 56.5%Spread: Penn State −2.5Total: 45.5The sites agree

The two sites agree

Polymarket and Kalshi give Penn State the same 56.5% chance to win. Not every line here has a live price on both sites.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Penn State wins	56.5%	56.5%	Same
Spread: Penn State −2.5Chance Penn State wins by 3 or more	51.5%	51.5%	Same
Total: 45.5 pointsChance of 46 or more points combined	50.5%	—	—

Penn State has stayed between 56.5% and 56.5% since Oct 1. Both sites have it at 56.5% now.

Penn State Nittany Lions: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

55%60%65%Oct 2Both 56.5%

Both teams play in the Big Ten, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the Big Ten	Win the national title
Penn StateNittany Lions	13%P 14.5 · K 11.5	3.3%P 3.3 · K 1*	1%P — · K 1*
NorthwesternWildcats	—Not listed	2.4%P 2.4 · K 1*	—Not listed

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.