Watch today's Prediction Market Network video brief above.
Fed Holds Rates? — The Fed's September call is suddenly less settled, with bond markets straining and Kevin Warsh heading to Jackson Hole. Prediction markets now put the odds of a rate hold at 68% — but that number is starting to wobble. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/feds-september-call-looks-less-settled-as-jackson-hole-nears-kxfedd-20260824
Lula Holds Off Bolsonaro? — Brazil's race is tightening just in time for October, with Flavio Bolsonaro gaining ground after an awkward opening debate. Markets still favor Lula at 63%, but that runway is no longer as comfortable as it looked. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/brazils-election-tightens-as-lula-faces-a-more-credible-runo-601819-20260825
Starship Slips to September — SpaceX's most ambitious Starship attempt is now a September story, not an August one. Static fires and paperwork are lining up, and prediction markets put the odds of a launch at 91% — if the countdown can finally behave. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/starship-test-countdown-slips-as-spacex-pivots-toward-a-sept-324074-20260824
