Watch today's Prediction Market Network video brief above.
Hormuz Talks: 6% Chance — Talks in Tehran aim to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, but a fresh tanker strike reminds us this passage is still a risky bet. Markets give it a 6% chance of success. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/hormuz-talks-advance-as-iran-and-oman-test-a-narrow-route-ba-kxhorm-20260825
Leavitt Exit: 34% Chance — Karoline Leavitt's departure from the White House press office is sparking a messy succession fight. Prediction markets see a 34% chance of a smooth transition, which is probably too optimistic. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/trumps-press-office-enters-a-new-contest-as-karoline-leavitt-kxnext-20260825
