Watch today's Prediction Market Network video brief above.
Fed Hold Odds Jump 24 Points — Traders now see a 64.5% chance the Fed keeps rates steady in October, a 24-point surge in just one day. The market is betting the central bank blinks first, not with a cut, but by doing absolutely nothing. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/markets-see-645-chance-of-fed-holding-rates-in-october-kxfedd-20260806
Iran Blockade Outlook Dims — The odds of an end to Iran's blockade announcement sit at a mere 15%. Despite a brief June reprieve, the blockade snapped back in July, and with the August 7 deadline passed, traders see no fresh announcement on the horizon. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/iran-blockade-end-announcement-remains-unlikely-312888-20260806
Troopers 3 Tomatometer Tanking? — Kalshi traders price a 66.5% chance Super Troopers 3 lands at 32% or lower on Rotten Tomatoes. Early Reddit buzz suggests critics aren't feeling the magic, and the market braces for a sour patch. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/super-troopers-3-rotten-tomatoes-score-market-shows-early-sk-kxrtsu-20260806
