Markets / 1 MIN READ
Today's market video report — 3 stories moving prediction markets on July 31, 2026.
Markets in this brief
Odds for every market mentioned in today's video.
Markets / 1 MIN READ
Earlier this weekPolymarket traders now assign a 3.85% probability to Bitcoin touching $62,500 in July, down sharply from 8% a day ago.
Markets / 1 MIN READ
Active military strikes and a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz drive oil above $100, fueling a broad risk-off move in cryptocurrencies.
Markets / 2 MIN READ
Traders now assign 47 percent odds to a sub-$55,000 dip by December, even as Wall Street targets exceed $140,000.
© 2026 Prediction Market Network. Market data references Polymarket and Kalshi and may change rapidly.
Watch today's Prediction Market Network video brief above.
Fed Holds Rates — The Federal Reserve held rates steady today, but three officials dissented in favor of a hike. New Chair Kevin Warsh cited inflation concerns from rising oil prices, giving the hold a 68% probability. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/federal-reserve-holds-steady-as-three-officials-dissent-for--908713-20260730
Us-Iran Strikes — US and Iran traded strikes today, widening the conflict to Jordan and Egypt. The UN called for de-escalation as markets priced a 71% chance of broader regional war. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/us-and-iran-trade-strikes-as-conflict-widens-to-jordan-and-e-295248-20260730
Oil Spike Fades — With just two trading days left in July, WTI futures remain stuck in the low $80s. The bet on a $90 spike has faded to a mere 4% chance. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/wti-90-july-bet-fades-to-4-chance-312858-20260730