Watch today's Prediction Market Network video brief above.
Iran Tanker Strikes Rattle Oil Markets — American forces destroyed five Iranian tankers, and Tehran struck back across Jordan and the Gulf. Markets are pricing a 58% chance that the Strait of Hormuz slides into open war. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/us-iran-tanker-strikes-push-the-strait-of-hormuz-back-toward-312888-20260909
Mail Ballot Chaos Looms — Thousands of primary ballots were rejected due to postal delays, and the fight over new federal mail-ballot rules is heating up. The probability that mail-voting chaos affects the midterms stands at 51%. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/late-postmarks-raise-new-mail-voting-risks-before-the-midter-562828-20260909
Bolsonaro Edges Lula in Poll — A new poll gives Flavio Bolsonaro a one-point runoff lead over Lula, within the margin of error. The race is tightening, with a 53% chance Bolsonaro takes the runoff. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/flavio-bolsonaro-edges-lula-in-a-runoff-poll-as-brazils-race-601819-20260908
