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Live Event Board
Event clusters from Polymarket and Kalshi with active market counts, volume, liquidity cues, and the highest-signal contracts inside each event.
Events
120
Markets
332
Volume
$1490.1M
Sources
109/11
Poly/Kalshi
Ranked by activity · Page 5 of 5
Volume
$132K
Markets
1
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
+2.0pp / $92K
46%
Volume
$130K
Markets
1
NATO article 5 before 2027?
0.0pp / $507
7%
Volume
$130K
Markets
1
Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
-0.5pp / $127K
51%
Volume
$127K
Markets
1
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
-1.0pp / $343
11%
Volume
$117K
Markets
2
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
-80.4pp / $11K
2%
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
+5.3pp / $4K
95%
Volume
$113K
Markets
1
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
0.0pp / $134
7%
Fed
Volume
$112K
Open Interest
$2K
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting?
+46.0pp / $7K
41%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2027 meeting?
+68.0pp / $16K
37%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting?
-58.0pp / $35
1%
Volume
$111K
Markets
1
Will Kawhi play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
-0.3pp / $110K
<1%
Volume
$110K
Markets
1
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
-1.0pp / $3K
7%
Daily temperature
Volume
$107K
Open Interest
$70K
Will the **high temp in NYC** be <87° on Jul 10, 2026?
+50.0pp / $37K
>99%
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 87-88° on Jul 10, 2026?
-29.0pp / $34K
1%
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 89-90° on Jul 10, 2026?
-14.0pp / $17K
1%
Volume
$101K
Markets
1
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks
-0.5pp / $100K
48%
Volume
$99K
Markets
1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 12?
+0.3pp / $84K
>99%
Volume
$87K
Markets
1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
No 24h move / $87K
>99%
Volume
$82K
Markets
1
Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-07-10?
-17.4pp / $82K
<1%
Volume
$79K
Markets
1
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals
-2.5pp / $79K
58%
Volume
$75K
Markets
1
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
0.0pp / $7
4%
Volume
$41K
Markets
3
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
+0.9pp / $4K
26%
Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
+0.1pp / $3K
<1%
Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
+0.4pp / $2K
2%
Fed
Volume
$31K
Open Interest
$20K
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?
-17.0pp / $17
69%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?
-2.0pp / $897
18%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?
-1.0pp / $157
14%
Volume
$31K
Open Interest
$24K
Rays wins by over 4.5 runs
No 24h move / $23K
76%
Rays wins by over 5.5 runs
No 24h move / $5K
27%
Volume
$22K
Open Interest
$22K
Kazuma Okamoto: 1+ home runs?
No 24h move / $4K
24%
Xander Bogaerts: 1+ home runs?
No 24h move / $4K
12%
Kazuma Okamoto: 2+ home runs?
No 24h move / $3K
3%
Volume
$19K
Markets
1
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?
+0.5pp / $19K
11%