Virginia Tech at California

Saturday, October 10 · 3:30 PM ET · Saturday afternoon game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY AFTERNOON GAMEACC GAME

AWAYVirginia TechHokies75.2%chance to win · Polymarket 75% · Kalshi 75.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 4 DAYSSat 3:30 PM ET

HOMECaliforniaGolden Bears24.8%chance to win · Polymarket 25% · Kalshi 24.5%

Favorite: Virginia Tech, 75.2%Spread: Virginia Tech −9.5Total: 53.5The sites are 0.5 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 0.5 points of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Virginia Tech wins	75%	75.5%	0.5 pts
Spread: Virginia Tech −9.5Chance Virginia Tech wins by 10 or more	—	49%	—
Total: 53.5 pointsChance of 54 or more points combined	—	49.5%	—

Virginia Tech has stayed between 44% and 80.5% since Oct 1. Polymarket has 75% and Kalshi 75.5% now.

Virginia Tech Hokies: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

40%45%50%55%60%65%70%75%80%85%Oct 2Oct 4Oct 6Polymarket 75%Kalshi 75.5%

Both teams play in the ACC, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the ACC	Win the national title
Virginia TechHokies	5.3%P 5.5 · K 5	2.7%P 3.8 · K 1.5	1%P — · K 1*
CaliforniaGolden Bears	2.5%P 3.6 · K 1.5	0.3%P 0.3 · K 1*	1%P — · K 1*

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.