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Live Event Board
Event clusters from Polymarket and Kalshi with active market counts, volume, liquidity cues, and the highest-signal contracts inside each event.
Events
120
Markets
319
Volume
$1685.0M
Sources
109/11
Poly/Kalshi
Ranked by activity · Page 2 of 5
Volume
$3.2M
Markets
1
Iran leadership change by December 31?
+0.5pp / $93K
17%
Volume
$2.8M
Markets
1
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
+2.0pp / $26K
7%
Volume
$2.7M
Markets
4
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+1.0pp / $286K
2%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+0.3pp / $283K
1%
Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No 24h move / $208K
<1%
Volume
$2.6M
Markets
1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
No 24h move / $75K
13%
Volume
$2.4M
Markets
1
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
No 24h move / $398
22%
Volume
$2.3M
Markets
2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
+1.0pp / $119K
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
-0.4pp / $190K
2%
Volume
$2.2M
Markets
2
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
+17.0pp / $105K
81%
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
-4.4pp / $143K
19%
Volume
$2.0M
Markets
1
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
No 24h move / $2.0M
12%
Volume
$1.8M
Markets
1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
-1.1pp / $131K
<1%
Volume
$1.8M
Markets
3
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
+9.5pp / $109K
84%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?
+0.2pp / $76K
2%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
No 24h move / $69K
<1%
Volume
$1.7M
Markets
3
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
+0.1pp / $413K
<1%
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
+0.1pp / $376K
<1%
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
+0.1pp / $100K
<1%
Volume
$1.7M
Markets
5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
+5.5pp / $116K
92%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
-0.1pp / $122K
<1%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
-0.1pp / $106K
<1%
Volume
$1.6M
Markets
7
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?
+0.2pp / $212K
3%
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?
No 24h move / $144K
2%
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?
No 24h move / $126K
7%
Volume
$1.6M
Markets
1
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
-2.5pp / $220K
9%
Volume
$1.5M
Markets
2
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
-1.2pp / $225K
7%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
+1.2pp / $125K
91%
Volume
$1.4M
Markets
2
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
-1.5pp / $102K
14%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?
-1.2pp / $106K
<1%
Volume
$1.2M
Markets
2
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
+0.1pp / $561
3%
Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?
-0.2pp / $265
<1%
Volume
$1.2M
Markets
1
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
-0.6pp / $67K
5%
Volume
$1.2M
Markets
2
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
-3.4pp / $69K
<1%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
-0.2pp / $88K
<1%
Volume
$1.2M
Markets
1
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
-0.5pp / $1K
5%
Volume
$1.2M
Markets
1
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
-4.0pp / $233K
60%
Volume
$1.2M
Markets
1
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
-2.9pp / $172K
2%
Volume
$1.1M
Markets
1
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
-3.0pp / $93K
8%
Volume
$981K
Markets
1
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
+1.3pp / $653K
58%