Tennessee at Arkansas

Saturday, October 10 · 4:15 PM ET · Saturday afternoon game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY AFTERNOON GAMESEC GAME

AWAYTennesseeVolunteers82.2%chance to win · Polymarket 82% · Kalshi 82.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 4 DAYSSat 4:15 PM ET

HOMEArkansasRazorbacks17.8%chance to win · Polymarket 18% · Kalshi 17.5%

Favorite: Tennessee, 82.2%Spread: Tennessee −13.5Total: 49.5The sites are 0.5 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 0.5 points of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Tennessee wins	82%	82.5%	0.5 pts
Spread: Tennessee −13.5Chance Tennessee wins by 14 or more	—	51.5%	—
Total: 49.5 pointsChance of 50 or more points combined	—	53.5%	—

Tennessee rose from 77% to 82% on Polymarket since Oct 1, peaking at 93%. Polymarket has 82% and Kalshi 82.5% now.

Tennessee Volunteers: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

65%70%75%80%85%90%95%Oct 2Oct 4Oct 6Polymarket 82%Kalshi 82.5%

Both teams play in the SEC, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the SEC	Win the national title
TennesseeVolunteers	22.5%P 30* · K 22.5	3.1%P 4.7 · K 1.5	1%P — · K 1*
ArkansasRazorbacks	4.6%P 4.6 · K 1*	3.9%P 3.9 · K 1*	1%P — · K 1*

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.