Markets grouped around what is actually trading

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

+0.5pp / $80K

Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

+0.4pp / $129K

Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

No 24h move / $99K

Before Jan 1, 2027

0.0pp / $33K

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

0.0pp / $20K

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

-1.5pp / $50K

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

-6.0pp / $123K

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?

-9.0pp / $61K

US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?

-4.5pp / $3K

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

+3.0pp / $9K

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

-1.0pp / $138K

Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

-0.1pp / $47K

Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 24h move / $101K

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

-2.5pp / $90K

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

+3.1pp / $55K

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

+2.0pp / $50K

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

+1.7pp / $29K

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 24h move / $320

Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 24h move / $3K

Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?

+24.1pp / $240K

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

-1.0pp / $10K

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

-2.0pp / $64K

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

No 24h move / $2.1M

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No 24h move / $3K

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

+0.1pp / $16K

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

-2.0pp / $3K

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?

+14.5pp / $32K

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?

+8.0pp / $68K

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?

-13.5pp / $28K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

-1.0pp / $73K

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

-0.1pp / $67K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

+0.1pp / $45K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

No 24h move / $40K

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

+0.7pp / $469

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

No 24h move / $207

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

-6.0pp / $10K

Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?

-0.2pp / $14K

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

+10.5pp / $65K

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

-1.0pp / $9K

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?

-4.0pp / $52K

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?

+7.7pp / $218K

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1?

-7.8pp / $147K

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

-2.0pp / $76K

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?

+4.5pp / $74K