Live Market Board
Event clusters from Polymarket and Kalshi with active market counts, volume, liquidity cues, and the highest-signal contracts inside each event.
Events
120
Markets
342
Volume
$802.3M
Sources
100/20
Poly/Kalshi
Ranked by activity · Page 2 of 5
Politics / houthi / Iran / traffic / Strait of Hormuz
Volume
$2.5M
Markets
2
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
-1.0pp / $71K
16%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No 24h move / $41K
6%
Business / Tech / Finance / Big Tech
Volume
$2.5M
Markets
2
AI bubble burst in 2026?
-1.2pp / $7K
6%
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?
-1.0pp / $8K
18%
Volume
$2.3M
Markets
2
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
-2.5pp / $1K
51%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
+1.0pp / $1K
47%
Business / Economy / Economic Policy / Macro Graph / Recurring
Volume
$2.3M
Markets
1
US recession by end of 2026?
-0.5pp / $15K
7%
BTC / 15 min
Volume
$2.1M
Open Interest
$437K
Target Price: $85,735.80
No 24h move / $235K
60%
Volume
$2.1M
Markets
1
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
-1.0pp / $108
5%
Economy / Business / Finance / Tech / Big Tech
Volume
$2.1M
Markets
2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
+3.5pp / $9K
89%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0.0pp / $14K
<1%
Volume
$2.0M
Markets
13
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
+0.3pp / $82K
<1%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
+2.0pp / $22K
45%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
-2.0pp / $8K
47%
Volume
$1.8M
Markets
3
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
No 24h move / $1.3M
71%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner
No 24h move / $376K
52%
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)
No 24h move / $91K
<1%
Basketball
Volume
$1.7M
Open Interest
$920K
New York wins
-47.0pp / $926K
1%
Philadelphia wins
+46.0pp / $778K
99%
Volume
$1.7M
Markets
1
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
+1.0pp / $341
13%
Oil / Geopolitics / Commodities / Finance / Iran
Volume
$1.7M
Markets
1
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
No 24h move / $59K
10%
Volume
$1.7M
Markets
1
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
+57.4pp / $1.3M
>99%
Culture / Politics / Tweet Markets / Recurring
Volume
$1.6M
Markets
16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
+97.2pp / $213K
>99%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
-46.4pp / $129K
<1%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
-44.4pp / $124K
<1%
Iran / Israel / Geopolitics / Israel x Iran / Israel Election
Volume
$1.3M
Markets
2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
-0.5pp / $30K
84%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?
No 24h move / $4K
97%
Fed / fomc / Trump / Economy / Fed Rates
Volume
$1.3M
Markets
2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
-0.1pp / $16K
1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
-1.0pp / $3K
74%
Volume
$1.3M
Markets
1
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
No 24h move / $31K
73%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
-1.0pp / $44K
88%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?
+0.7pp / $34K
>99%
Volume
$1.3M
Markets
1
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
No 24h move / $47
2%
Volume
$1.2M
Markets
9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6?
+17.5pp / $246K
>99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?
-24.4pp / $83K
<1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6?
-3.4pp / $127K
<1%
Finance / IPO / Anthropic IPO / Anthropic / IPOs
Volume
$1.2M
Markets
2
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
+1.0pp / $25K
85%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
-2.0pp / $8K
79%
Governor
Volume
$1.1M
Open Interest
$707K
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Texas
-3.0pp / $10K
26%
Culture / Politics / Tweet Markets / Recurring
Volume
$1.1M
Markets
22
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
+17.0pp / $40K
29%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
-18.5pp / $22K
12%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
+16.9pp / $33K
19%
Finance / Privates / llm / Anthropic / Dario Amodei
Volume
$1.1M
Markets
2
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
+0.8pp / $13K
7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
No 24h move / $80
94%
Volume
$986K
Markets
7
Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 3.5
+82.5pp / $169K
>99%
Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5
+63.5pp / $156K
>99%
Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 1.5
+35.9pp / $133K
>99%
© 2026 Prediction Market Network. Market data references Polymarket and Kalshi and may change rapidly.