Markets grouped around what is actually trading

Target Price: $83,928.49

No 24h move / $575K

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

-0.1pp / $49K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

No 24h move / $22K

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

-2.0pp / $76K

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?

+4.5pp / $72K

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

+2.0pp / $86K

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

-1.0pp / $50K

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?

-0.4pp / $1K

Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?

0.0pp / $86

Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?

+0.7pp / $62

Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C

-24.4pp / $828K

Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)

-50.4pp / $105K

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

-9.0pp / $10K

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?

-6.5pp / $2K

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

-60.0pp / $132K

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

+60.5pp / $173K

Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 24h move / $63K

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

+0.7pp / $5K

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

-0.5pp / $6K

Steelers vs. Browns

-1.0pp / $455K

Spread: Browns (-3.5)

+1.0pp / $176K

Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 38.5

-1.0pp / $67K

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?

-7.5pp / $56K

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?

-4.2pp / $24K

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

+4.0pp / $5K

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

No 24h move / $32K

Iran leadership change by October 31?

-0.9pp / $33K

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

No 24h move / $4K

Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?

+3.0pp / $416K

Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?

-1.0pp / $84K

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

+6.5pp / $84K

Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

-6.5pp / $67K

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting?

+7.0pp / $8K

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

-1.0pp / $2K

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

0.0pp / $8K

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

-0.4pp / $80K

Will President Trump resign before his term is up?

+2.0pp / $757

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

No 24h move / $230

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

-3.5pp / $91K

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

-14.0pp / $274K

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity - Map 2 Winner

+19.0pp / $82K

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?

+3.0pp / $4K

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?

No 24h move / $29K

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?

-0.1pp / $9K

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

-0.6pp / $4K